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JAPAN: THE DOWNFALL OF THE YEN

JAPAN: THE DOWNFALL OF THE YEN the value of the yen globally, and the potential challenges ahead. Discover insights on slush funds and how in JAPANESE YEN?!

POLITICS ARE DANCING

Daniel TJ International Correspondent Tokyo, Japan

1/17/20263 min read

a one hundred dollar bill with the word 100 on it
a one hundred dollar bill with the word 100 on it

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • Financial Economy Japan: What is the outlook for the Japanese economy?

  • What is the Yen worth globally?

  • How does Japan stack up against the rest of the world

  • Is the Japanese economy in trouble in the near future?

  • What's with the slush funds in the Japanese Government?

  • How are foreigners saving Japan?

FROM SLUSH FUNDS TO A WEAK YEN: Internationals Are Saving Japan?

Daniel TJ International Correspondent Tokyo, Japan

I’m standing in Tokyo, and even on a calm weekday morning, you can feel it. Not panic, not collapse, but a kind of low, constant pressure.

Japan’s financial situation isn’t something people shout about. It’s something they live with quietly, and that might be the most Japanese part of the story.

Let’s start with the yen. The weak yen has become almost background noise now.

Tourists love it. Importers don’t.

Salaries haven’t caught up, and when you talk to regular workers, they don’t use words like “currency depreciation.” They say, “Everything’s more expensive, but my pay isn’t.”

I’ve heard that exact sentence more times than I can count. The government says the weak yen helps exports, and on paper, that’s true.

But Japan doesn’t feel like an export powerhouse anymore. It feels like a country paying more for energy, food, and raw materials while trying to convince itself this is still a strategic advantage.

Then there’s government debt. Japan’s government bonds are often described as “safe,” but the scale is staggering. Japan owes, essentially, itself.

Domestic institutions hold most of the debt, which buys time, not freedom.

It’s like borrowing from your own future paycheck every month and calling it stability. Yes, interest rates stayed low for decades, but now the Bank of Japan is boxed in. Raise rates too fast and debt servicing explodes.

Keep them low and the yen bleeds further. I’ve spoken to economists off-camera who admit, quietly, that there’s no clean exit here.

People also talk about “hidden yen,” slush funds, reserves tucked away in special accounts. Some of that money exists, but it’s not a secret treasure chest waiting to save the country.

Much of it is already spoken for, earmarked for pensions, disaster response, or politically sensitive programs. It’s less a rainy-day fund and more a collection of umbrellas already in use.

The broader economy feels tired. Not broken, just worn down. Contract work has replaced stability.

Young people hesitate to spend, marry, or have kids.

Older workers stay employed longer because pensions don’t stretch far enough. And yes, black companies still exist.

Long hours, unpaid overtime, pressure that crushes people slowly rather than all at once. You don’t always see it, but you hear it in the pauses when someone talks about their job.

Compared to the rest of the world, Japan looks oddly frozen. The US and parts of Europe ride cycles of growth and inflation.

Emerging economies swing wildly. Japan just… endures. Growth is modest. Wages lag. Innovation happens, but cautiously.

Risk-taking still feels like a dirty word.

And yet, here’s the part that doesn’t get enough attention. International residents are changing things from the inside.

I see it in startups run in mixed Japanese-English meetings, in local governments hiring foreign advisors, in small businesses owned by people who didn’t grow up here but chose to stay.

They challenge work culture, push back on inefficiency, and sometimes just ask the obvious question no one else will. Why do it this way?

Is Japan in decline? In some ways, yes. The population is shrinking. Debt is enormous. The system resists change.

But decline isn’t the same as collapse.

Japan still functions. Trains run. Streets are safe. Communities hold together. The future feels uncertain, but not hopeless.

Japan’s real challenge isn’t money. It’s confidence.

Confidence to change, to open up, to admit that endurance alone isn’t a strategy. From where I’m standing, that conversation has started.

It’s quiet, imperfect, and slow. But it’s happening. And in Japan, that matters more than it sounds.

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